Pre-Christmas slaughter and sales continue to wreak havoc on the cryptocurrency market at a time when investors are expecting significant upturns. For the last few years, cryptocurrencies have begun to search for “bottoms” in November and use the momentum generated in December to rebound to higher levels.
This month, however, the entire crypto market is bloody, driven by the main cryptocurrency. Bitcoin led the market in another round of downturns, testing support at $ 6,500. Ethereum plunged below $ 130 to test the decisive $ 120 support. Ripple is attempting to make a reversal after falling to a 2-year low at $ 0.1790.
In the last 24 hours, the entire cryptocurrency market is saying goodbye to $ 10 billion, wiped off. And the market capitalization is $ 177 billion, compared to from 187 billion a day earlier. On the other hand, the volume of trade increased significantly from $ 69 to $ 82 billion, reflecting the extreme activity of sales.
Bitcoin technical analysis
Despite sales and declines, the market price of BTC in December 2019 is still over 100% higher than the bottom reached in December 2018. The ratio of BTC is still upward in the long run.
But now the asset is in the phase of highly active speculative trading. The Bitcoin Index of Fear and Greed still indicates exceptional levels of fear at 24 points. In the short term, bearish attitudes seem to prevail. So, I expect the decline to likely continue as long as the RSI indicator remains within the oversold area. In addition, the price moves below the 50-, 100- and 200-day SMAs.
While 50 SMA remains below 100 SMA on the 4-hour chart, the chances of recovery may take some time. Therefore, Bitcoin will be at risk of possible further losses. The bears’ next goal is to support $ 6,400, followed by a psychological level of $ 6,000.
In order to regain control, the bulls will have to break the resistance provided by the downtrend line on the daily chart, which is in the region of the important resistance and the round number $ 7,000.
Where is the next support for Ethereum?
The downside movement approached the next support at $ 120, though it then adjusted slightly upside. Obviously, it is still possible to see a further decline due to the oversold value of RSI. A clear break below 120 will direct the bears to the next important support at $ 116.00 – 115.85. A persuaclearsive breakthrough (in case of increased sales throughout the market) below this area will bring the $ 112.60 level to focus.
The second-largest cryptocurrency should enter an uptrend if it manages to recover above the two key resistances at $ 130 and $ 140. Only then will the risk of testing the psychological $ 100 level will be completely prevented.
XRP/USD hit a 52-week low
The XRP is currently trading above $ 0.018 after falling below $ 0.20 for the first time since October 2017. Ripple is definitely an example of the worst performing digital assets in 2019. On a daily chart, RSI has changed its slump from the oversold zone and trying to have an uptrend. If the indicator continues, XRP may recover its lost position above $ 0.20 in next sessions.
On the other hand, we do not have too many levels of support here as XRP/USD reaches its lowest level since September 25, 2017. The $ 0.1500/1485 area was the main support when the price was so low the last time in 2017. In case of a convincing break below it, we can expect a test of $ 0.1350.
Author: Silviya Velcheva
* The views expressed in this material do not constitute a recommendation or advice for the purchase or sale of cryptocurrencies in the digital assets market or other financial instruments. The predicted forecasts meet the expectations of the author of the material and may not materialize. Trading in currencies, contracts for differences on margin or cryptocurrencies poses a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past results are not a guarantee of future success.