Today is a mixed day, but most of the major cryptocurrencies are in green zone. The move of Bitcoin to $ 10 275 yesterday should provide support to the broader market. Meanwhile, Stellar’s Lumen (XLM) grown is supported by market sentiments and positive fundamentals.
Bitcoin dominance continued to hold levels below 63% since the start of the week. Total market capitalization on Wednesday morning was $ 295.57 billion. At the time of the writing, 24-hour trading volumes were $ 173.77 billion.
Bitcoin jumped back above $ 10,000
BTC/USD rose again above the $ 10,000 key area this Tuesday. This rebound was due to the test of 23.6% Fibo level of the recent rise from $ 6,480 to a high of $ 10,275. Currently, however, the price is correcting lower below $ 10,200.
After all, the $ 10,200 level is a key hurdle for the Bitcoin bulls. But since the golden cross (when the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200 SMA) was confirmed on the chart today, the bulls may be able to keep the price above the psychologically important level of 10,000. We may see a bullish rally before halving event in May. And then to see a correction just before or after the event.
On the downside, the first support below $ 10,000 is $ 9,500 (23.6% Fibo correction).
Technical analysis of XLM/USD
Lumen’s price failed to continue its strong upward movement above the $ 0.0875 level. The XLM/USD pair formed there a short-term top on Friday, but then dropped below $ 0.0800.
XLM even broke the $ 0.0780 support and the 4-hour 55 SMA. This fact could open the door to more losses and the price could test the psychological level of $ 0.0700.
On the upside, the first resistance is near the $ 0.0750 level and the 55-day SMA of the 4-hour chart. But to turn back to positive territory, Lumen has to move above $ 0.0780 and $ 0.0800. In addition, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level (0.0772) of the current fall from $ 0.0875 to the bottom of $ 0.0669 is also close.
On downside, the first major support is at 0.0700, followed by $ 0.0680. If the bulls fail to protect the $ 0.0650 area, there is a risk of a further decline below $ 0.0620 in near future.
From a long-term perspective, since the beginning of February, XLM/USD has been trading over 200 SMA on a daily chart for the first time since the end of June 2019. Although this is considered a bullish signal, the price can test again this MA (currently at $ 0.0622) before another uptrend starts. On the other hand, a clear break below 200 SMA will increase the sales pressure and can push the price to the next strong support at $ 0.0582. It is created by 100 SMA on a daily chart.
Author: Silviya Velcheva
* The views expressed in this material do not constitute a recommendation or advice for the purchase or sale of cryptocurrencies in the digital assets market or other financial instruments. The predicted forecasts meet the expectations of the author of the material and may not materialize. Trading in currencies, contracts for differences on margin or cryptocurrencies poses a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past results are not a guarantee of future success.