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Pre-Christmas sales surge for BTC, ETH and XRP

Pre-Christmas slaughter and sales continue to wreak havoc on the cryptocurrency market at a time when investors are expecting significant upturns. For the last few years, cryptocurrencies have begun to search for “bottoms” in November and use the momentum generated in December to rebound to higher levels.

This month, however, the entire crypto market is bloody, driven by the main cryptocurrency. Bitcoin led the market in another round of downturns, testing support at $ 6,500. Ethereum plunged below $ 130 to test the decisive $ 120 support. Ripple is attempting to make a reversal after falling to a 2-year low at $ 0.1790.

In the last 24 hours, the entire cryptocurrency market is saying goodbye to $ 10 billion, wiped off. And the market capitalization is $ 177 billion, compared to from 187 billion a day earlier. On the other hand, the volume of trade increased significantly from $ 69 to $ 82 billion, reflecting the extreme activity of sales.

 

Bitcoin technical analysis

Despite sales and declines, the market price of BTC in December 2019 is still over 100% higher than the bottom reached in December 2018. The ratio of BTC is still upward in the long run.

But now the asset is in the phase of highly active speculative trading. The Bitcoin Index of Fear and Greed still indicates exceptional levels of fear at 24 points. In the short term, bearish attitudes seem to prevail. So, I expect the decline to likely continue as long as the RSI indicator remains within the oversold area. In addition, the price moves below the 50-, 100- and 200-day SMAs.

While 50 SMA remains below 100 SMA on the 4-hour chart, the chances of recovery may take some time. Therefore, Bitcoin will be at risk of possible further losses. The bears’ next goal is to support $ 6,400, followed by a psychological level of $ 6,000.

In order to regain control, the bulls will have to break the resistance provided by the downtrend line on the daily chart, which is in the region of the important resistance and the round number $ 7,000.

 

Where is the next support for Ethereum?

The downside movement approached the next support at $ 120, though it then adjusted slightly upside. Obviously, it is still possible to see a further decline due to the oversold value of RSI. A clear break below 120 will direct the bears to the next important support at $ 116.00 – 115.85. A persuaclearsive breakthrough (in case of increased sales throughout the market) below this area will bring the $ 112.60 level to focus.

The second-largest cryptocurrency should enter an uptrend if it manages to recover above the two key resistances at $ 130 and $ 140. Only then will the risk of testing the psychological $ 100 level will be completely prevented.

 

XRP/USD hit a 52-week low

The XRP is currently trading above $ 0.018 after falling below $ 0.20 for the first time since October 2017. Ripple is definitely an example of the worst performing digital assets in 2019. On a daily chart, RSI has changed its slump from the oversold zone and trying to have an uptrend. If the indicator continues, XRP may recover its lost position above $ 0.20 in next sessions.

On the other hand, we do not have too many levels of support here as XRP/USD reaches its lowest level since September 25, 2017. The $ 0.1500/1485 area was the main support when the price was so low the last time in 2017. In case of a convincing break below it, we can expect a test of $ 0.1350.

 

Author: Silviya Velcheva


* The views expressed in this material do not constitute a recommendation or advice for the purchase or sale of cryptocurrencies in the digital assets market or other financial instruments. The predicted forecasts meet the expectations of the author of the material and may not materialize. Trading in currencies, contracts for differences on margin or cryptocurrencies poses a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past results are not a guarantee of future success.

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Will we see a breakthrough on Bitcoin under $ 7,000?

This morning, the crypto market was a red sea for the major digital assets. Bitcoin and all major Altcoins are moving outside the latest ranges amid rising bearish sentiment. EOS led down by 3.49%. Ripple’s XRP and Stellar’s Lumen did not lag far behind with losses of 3.04% and 3.01% respectively. Binance Coin (-1.43%), Bitcoin Cash ABC (-2.79%), Ethereum (-2.05%) and Litecoin (-1.63%) also struggled.

The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies dropped to $ 194 billion, while the average daily trading volume remained unchanged at $ 55 billion. Bitcoin’s market share rose to 66.7%.

 

For now, the bears are in control of Bitcoin, but a rebound is not excluded

Over the last two days, the price of BTC/USD has been consolidating in a very narrow range between $ 7,200 and $ 7,523. Earlier this morning, however, the price of the main digital asset fell below the lower border of the range and declined by 2.12% over the last 24 hours.

Bollinger Bands shows an extension of the one-hour chart, which usually means there is a break on the way.

And as the breakthrough was downside, the bearish trend, which formed at the end of June from a high of $ 13,764, remained completely intact in the short-term, supported by the decline for the current week.

For the bulls, Bitcoin should make sustainable move above $ 11,000 to form a short-term uptrend.

 

Bitcoin should stay above $ 7,100 to prevent possible dips below 7,000

The nearest support is located at the bottom line of the one-hour Bollinger Bands at $ 7,129. There is located also a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the last rally from $ 6,618 to $ 7,933.4.

Once this area it is broken, bearish pressure is likely to continue with a further focus on psychological $ 7,000 level. And in the case of longer extended sales, Bitcoin could target a 78.6% Fibo level at 6,890. A clear breakthrough there will drive the price for testing of psychological $ 6,500 level.

On the upside, a strong resistance zone we have between $ 7,253 and $ 7,415. That region hosts several indicators, including BB’s middle line on H1 chart, SMA 50 (7,323) and SMA 100 (7,414) also on the hourly chart.

However, Bitcoin will need support from the broader crypto market in order to further rebound above this area. An additional correction to $ 8,000 should meet resistance at $ 7,523, $ 7,623 (23.6% Fib level) and $ 7,933 (November’s end high).

 

Author: Silviya Velcheva


* The views expressed in this material do not constitute a recommendation or advice for the purchase or sale of cryptocurrencies in the digital assets market or other financial instruments. The predicted forecasts meet the expectations of the author of the material and may not materialize. Trading in currencies, contracts for differences on margin or cryptocurrencies poses a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past results are not a guarantee of future success.

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Litecoin went up above $ 60

Bitcoin settled above $ 9,300

The crypto currency market has a mixed picture on Wednesday as Bitcoin and all major altcoins fluctuate in narrow ranges during the early Asian hours. Total market capitalization reached $ 251 billion. The average daily trading volume was $ 89 billion. And Bitcoin’s market share reached 66.8%.

BTC/USD hit a weekly high at $ 9,621.8 on November 4 and has been retreating ever since. At the time of my writing, the main digital coin is trading for $ 9,425, down 1.02% on a daily basis. The SMA 100 on the daily chart is located around $ 9,606 and seems to be limiting the recovery. It needs a clear break above it and a weekly high to allow the bulls to gain likely traction for the next goal at $ 10,000.

 

LTC sees optimism return, with the potential to rise again to three-digit prices

Currently, Litecoin is far from its peak value, reaching above $ 360 during the bull market of 2017 and early 2018. However, LTC has the potential for more significant profits, as the coin is considered as undervalued.

The crypto currency is seen as a relatively insignificant asset, although it has established stable liquidity. This makes Litecoin relatively attractive and has the potential for rallying, especially in times of BTC stability. LTC is one of the coins in which active and rapid price movement is associated with an increase in price action.

The coin has also recently saw a spike in daily transactions, to over 67,000 transactions a day, above the average of 18,000 a typical day. Litecoin has also shown its ability to rise in price amid pure speculation. More than 46% of all LTC volumes receive inflows from Tether (USDT), allowing the price to move independently. Also, keep in mind that LTC is still one of the assets that almost doubled its value in 2019, though still behind BTC’s performance.

 

Technical analysis of Litecoin

Litecoin is currently trading at $ 63.58, with increase of 3.75% over the last 24 hours. Yesterday, LTC extended its bullish move to the high at $ 64.02, but failed to keep above that level. That is why this peak is now acting as a short-term resistance.

If we look at the four-hour chart, Litecoin’s struggle to defend the $ 60 support is at its peak. In addition, the price moves within a formed rising triangle pattern. The first scenario is for Litecoin to break above the resistance of the triangle ($ 64) and open the door to $ 70. On the other hand, if the coin fails to clear the $ 64 hurdle combined with a correction below the trendline support, Litecoin can easily approach to $ 50.

In hindsight, a drop to $ 50 would not have a completely negative impact. It is likely that a new LTC demand will be created in the area and the basis for a potential rally towards $ 100 at the end of the year.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that the price is oversold in the short term (H4) and the reversal is at the beginning. Bulls hold relative control according to the Moving Average Divergence Convergence (MACD).

 

Author: Silviya Velcheva


* The views expressed in this material do not constitute a recommendation or advice for the purchase or sale of cryptocurrencies in the digital assets market or other financial instruments. The predicted forecasts meet the expectations of the author of the material and may not materialize. Trading in currencies, contracts for differences on margin or cryptocurrencies poses a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past results are not a guarantee of future success.

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Bitcoin, ETH and XRP lead the market in retreat on Wednesday

The crypto currency market has been bullish for the past 48 hours. However, gains related mainly to the improvement of the technical picture across the board, however, were unsustainable. Most analysts believe that because of the low volume, the breakthrough on Monday and Tuesday cannot be contained. And that’s why the market is sliding back into the red this morning, led by the first three crypto currencies – Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple.

Bitcoin dominance continues to decline, giving the Altcoins more breathing space

Bitcoin has dropped 2.71% in the last 24 hours. Yesterday, the price suddenly retreated from the high around $ 8,500. The negative price action continued in the Asian session today, with BTC touching the intraday low of $ 8,154.6 for the moment. The main crypto currency will have to go back above the morning high at $ 8,327.4 to support the rally to the nearest resistance of $ 8,350. A clear breakout above this level will open the door to the bulls for re-testing $ 8,500.

At the beginning of the month, the total market capitalization of cryptos fell from a peak on Monday of $ 226.12 billion to the bottom of $ 219.94 billion. At the time of my writing, the total capitalization of the crypto market was $ 221.15 billion. And the moderate loss of Bitcoin yesterday led to a slight increase in its dominance. At the time of writing, the dominance of BTC is 67.8%.

In October, the next key period for Bitcoin and the crypto market will be in the middle of the month. This is the SEC’s deadline for approving or rejecting the Bitwise Asset Management’s Bitcoin ETF proposal.

Daily technical analysis of Stellar Lumen and Tron

For the remaining 10 crypto currencies, Tuesday ended mostly in red. Stellar and Ripple led the way down, sliding 5.4% and 4.76% respectively.

Stellar (XLM), which intends to remove its inflation function in the upcoming upgrade, has been struggling to keep its gains from the last 7 days. The coin rose by a modest 5.33% last week and was trading at around $ 0.060 at the time of publication.

The digital currency will have to break through this level in order to keep the upside momentum to the first resistance at $ 0.06222 (yesterday’s high). In the case of a broad-based rebound in the market, the $ 0.06505 level could be back in the game before we see any pullback. If the price fails to move well above 0.0600, we can see Stellar Lumen struggle throughout the day with testing of $ 0.05657 support.

Similarly, Tron (TRX) continued its bearish sentiment today as it dropped from $ 0.0148 to the intraday bottom of $ 0.0137. The daily chart shows us that the market found strong resistance around $ 0.0185 (double high since September) and support in the area at $ 0.0116. The MACD indicator, however, signals a reversal of momentum from the bearish to bullish. Immediate resistance is the 50-day Simple Moving Average (localized at 0.0160). There is also a downside trend line on the daily chart. A clear break above this area will be required to confirm the bullish momentum.

 

 

Author: Silviya Velcheva


* The views expressed in this material do not constitute a recommendation or advice for the purchase or sale of cryptocurrencies in the digital assets market or other financial instruments. The predicted forecasts meet the expectations of the author of the material and may not materialize. Trading in currencies, contracts for differences on margin or cryptocurrencies poses a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past results are not a guarantee of future success.

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